Vintage Watch Blog.
I kind of enjoy it when my predictions come true. Every year I do a write up about where I see the market heading. But enough about me, let's discuss what's important moving forward in a marketplace that is changing rapidly.
I'm guessing from the pictures that you see, you might know where I'm going. Pocket watches, especially railroad or chronometer grade watches are hot. I predicted last year, and the previous year, based on what I see sell or purchased that the collectors' market (in the US) for pocket watches will make a comeback. Well they certainly did in a huge way. In previous years, I might sell one or two pocket watches and kept a low inventory due to a stale market. Now, pocket watches are becoming extremely popular and prices are rising quickly...perhaps too quickly. I think the pocket watch pricing in 2018 will stabilize and grow slower compared to 2017. But make no mistake, pocket watches are here to stay and we will see price and market growth over several years, I predict. Click here to see our pocket watch inventory.
Vintage Seiko? What!
I honestly didn't see this one coming as fast as it did. Vintage Seiko watches in 2017 boomed, creating a large following of collectors. This is especially true for dive watches, chronographs and their alarm watch. When examining closely, it is really the dive watches that have created this new market, and prices are rising fast. Early in 2017 we started carrying a small collection of Seiko watches to test the market. Yes, they sell; however, the prices for these popular dive watches has grown too quickly and I do predict a correction at some point - it may take a while.
Swiss Grail Watches
Every vintage watch enthusiast has their "grail" watch. They may have it already; however, typically a new "holy grail" arises in the mind of the collector, and so on we go. It's difficult to predict what watches will be the most popular grail watches; however, I see an uptick in rarer watches with low production, good pedigree, and something you probably would never see anyone else wearing. Vintage Rolex will always have a solid market; however, newer collectors seem to shy away from the brand and would rather have something (maybe a Rolex) that speaks to their personality or has some significant nestalgia. I used the Patek Philippe Neptune as an example; it's a very nice and solid watch to wear on a daily basis, and although it's not what we typically see from Patek, it is a very attractive watch on the wrist. You can see more pictures by clicking on the picture above. Bottom line is that vintage Swiss watches, well curated, will continue to be strong for the foreseeable future.
Vintage Timex Watches
Okay, I'm not sure why, but this brand in the vintage market is making huge waves. Perhaps it's the price point that is attractive to newer collectors or maybe this is a sign of the end of the world. I don't see significant price growth for these watches, but I do think collectors will continue to buy them in 2018. Why you ask... I have no idea other than price point and they did make some nice looking watches. These watches are typically low quality and I cannot see this continue; but it might. I would recommend saving your money for a Swiss watch that you love, with good pedigree and investment growth. I fear that Timex buyers won't see their money back when they decide they are trash and want something different. I would love intelligent comments on this phenomenon because I don't quite understand the desire for Timex from a collectors standpoint.
Anyhow, 2018 will be another strong market for vintage watches, with some shifts in what collectors are buying; especially Swiss grail or cult watches, like this chronograph. With the addition of a strong pocket watch market and Seiko.
Have a happy new year! Thank you for reading my blog.
Adam J. Dubilo, founder of Adam Vintage
Mailing: 7 E Circle Dr. E. Longmeadow, MA 01028
Phone: +1 413 219 1104
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Disclaimer: Any and all trademarks mentioned here are for descriptive purposes only and are the property of their respective owners. Adam Vintage Watch Co. and its owners and affiliates are not authorized agents for Rolex Watch Company and are not affiliated with them in any way.